Theory and Modern Applications
From: A fractional order approach to modeling and simulations of the novel COVID-19
Parameter | Range (Sources) | Default value |
---|---|---|
β (transmission rate) | 3.511 × 10−8 day−1 | |
1/m (inverse incubation period) | 1/14–1/2 day−1 | 1/7 day−1 |
ω (fraction of infected individuals that do not show symptoms) | 0.35–0.4 [48] | 0.37 |
\(\tau _{1}\) (progression rate of asymptomatic individuals to confirmed, depends on contact tracing and testing) | 1/15 day−1 | |
\(\tau _{2}\) (progression rate of symptomatic individuals to confirmed, depends on contact tracing and testing) | 1/3 day−1 | |
\(\theta _{1}\) (recovery rate, confirmed) | 0.11624 day−1 [49] | 0.11624 day−1 |
\(\theta _{2}\) (natural recovery rate) | 0.13798 day−1 [49] | 0.13798 day−1 |
γ (disease mortality rate) | 1.7826 × 10−5 | |
ρ (transition rate from asymptomatic to symptomatic) | assumed | 0.2 |
S(0) (initial value of the susceptible) | [50] | 11,081,000 |
E(0) (initial value of the expose) | [50] | 399 |
\(I_{1}(0)\) (initial value asymptomatic) | [50] | 28 |
\(I_{2}(0)\) (initial value of symptomatic) | [50] | 54 |
C(0) (initial value of confirmed) | [50] | 41 |
R(0) (initial value of recovered) | [50] | 12 |