 Research
 Open Access
 Published:
Dynamics of the rumorspreading model with hesitation mechanism in heterogenous networks and bilingual environment
Advances in Difference Equations volume 2020, Article number: 628 (2020)
Abstract
In this paper, a novel rumorspreading model is proposed under bilingual environment and heterogenous networks, which considers that exposures may be converted to spreaders or stiflers at a set rate. Firstly, the nonnegativity and boundedness of the solution for rumorspreading model are proved by reductio ad absurdum. Secondly, both the basic reproduction number and the stability of the rumorfree equilibrium are systematically discussed. Whereafter, the global stability of rumorprevailing equilibrium is explored by utilizing Lyapunov method and LaSalle’s invariance principle. Finally, the sensitivity analysis and the numerical simulation are respectively presented to analyze the impact of model parameters and illustrate the validity of theoretical results.
1 Introduction
Rumors have been generally described as the unconfirmed comprehension and interpretation of social events, natural phenomena, and other issues, which can be spread through interpersonal communication [1, 2]. In addition, the veracity of rumors could be interpreted and demonstrated by exerting several exterior interferences as time goes on. Actually, rumors which seriously twist the facts will lead some negative repercussions, such as anxious state of mind, social panic, serious financial losses, and so on [3]. In February 2011, for instance, it was rumored in Jiangsu Province that a large explosion had happened in Daiwa chemical enterprise of Chenjiagang chemical park, which caused a sense of panic and terror, six people were dead and many others wounded. Therefore, it is quite necessary and meaningful to investigate the dynamics of rumor spreading.
Starting from the complex environment, some researchers have discussed the dynamics for rumor spreading based on the peculiarities and diversities of complex networks recently. In 2002, Zanette [4, 5] firstly combined rumor propagation with complex networks to construct ISR (ignoramuses–spreaders–stiflers) model on small world networks, and the threshold was obtained on the homogeneous networks. In 2007, Nekovee et al. [6] studied the rumorspreading model with a forgetting mechanism on complex networks, and the threshold of rumor propagation was discussed by simulation experiments. Some researchers presented a novel ILSR (ignoramus–lurker–spreader–removal) model to study the stability and control of rumors in case of an emergency [7, 8]. Note that the aforementioned rumorspreading models are concentrated on homogeneous networks, which include only a single type of node and edge that will certainly lead some problems with incomplete or loss of information [9–14]. In contrast to homogeneous networks, heterogeneous networks (i.e., the degree distribution of nodes is uneven) blend more types of nodes and their complex interactions. Obviously, some practical phenomena can be described more precisely by utilizing heterogeneous networks. Consequently, it is necessary to discuss rumor propagation in such networks. The heterogeneity of models has an important impact on the dynamics of rumor spreading, and some results of rumor spreading in heterogeneous networks have been acquired recently [15–17].
It is worth noting that a hesitation mechanism is introduced to explore the dynamics of rumor spreading for the reason that people cannot immediately spread or deny rumors received from the complex environment. At present, few scholars studied the dynamic behaviors of a rumorpropagation model with a hesitation mechanism [18–21]. For example, the dynamics of SEIR (ignoramuses–exposures–spreaders–stiflers) rumorspreading model in heterogeneous networks was studied in [18–20], where exposures were converted to stiflers with a certain rate. Hosseini et al. [21] investigated an SEIRS propagation model with vaccinations and quarantine strategies by considering the effects of user awareness, network delay, and diverse configuration of nodes. However, almost all of results about SEIR model were studied in monolingual environment and few researchers concentrated on bilingual or even multilingual environment based on heterogeneous networks.
Note that rumors are widely spread in an increasingly complicated environment with the rapid development of market economy and globalization. That is, the area of rumor spreading includes people of different nationalities and languages [22–25]. In such a social environment, the dissemination of rumors, the ways and means of receiving rumors, and the guidance of public opinion of rumors are more complicated than those in a monolingual environment. In addition, people of different nationalities and languages have different propagation characteristics for the same information due to different focus. Therefore, it has profound practical significance and application value to study the discipline and dynamics of rumor spreading.
From the above analysis, the purpose of this paper is to address the global stability of the rumorspreading model in heterogenous networks and bilingual environment. Compared with the existing results, the main contributions of this paper can be summarized as follows:
(1) By extending the existing results [22–25], a novel IE2S2R model is proposed by adding a hesitation mechanism. Especially, exposures may be translated into spreaders or stiflers with a certain rate in heterogenous networks and bilingual environment.
(2) The existence and stability of rumorfree and rumorprevailing equilibrium points are proved mainly based on the Lyapunov function, graph theoretic approach, and LaSalle’s invariance principle.
(3) In order to be better at guiding and controlling the spread of rumors, sensitivity analysis which can indicate the relative importance of several different factors in IE2S2R model is introduced in this paper.
The rest of this paper is organized as follows. In Sect. 2, we present an IE2S2R model with a hesitation mechanism in heterogenous networks. The dynamics of the rumorfree and rumorprevailing equilibria for an IE2S2R rumorspreading model is explored in Sect. 3. The sensitivity analysis is performed in Sect. 4. In Sect. 5, some numerical simulations are provided to validate the correctness and effectiveness of the obtained results. Finally, the conclusion of this paper is brought in Sect. 6.
2 Description of the rumorspreading model
In this section, we start with a description of the proposed rumor spreading in a bilingual environment and then explore rumor spreading in heterogeneous networks.
During the rumor propagation in the whole population, the individuals are often in the following states: ignoramuses (\(I(t)\)), who have never heard the rumor but are vulnerable to be infected; exposures (\(E(t)\)), who have been infected but they are hesitant to start spreading rumors; spreaders1 (\(S_{1}(t)\)), who have known and spread the rumor by their first language; spreaders2 (\(S_{2}(t)\)), who have known and spread the rumor via the second language; stiflers1 (\(R_{1}(t)\)), who have heard the rumor through the first language and then do not transmit the rumor again for certain reasons (For instance, the exposures are not interested in rumors; the spreaders stop the propagation of rumors due to the impacts of education or forgetting mechanism.); stiflers2 (\(R_{2}(t)\)), who have heard the rumor through the second language but couldn’t disseminate the rumor. Moreover, the populations are divided into different groups on the basis of their different connectivity degree (the scope of human’s social circle), which enables the addressed networks to describe the spreading of rumors more accurately.
The population has been divided into groups of \(k_{\max }\) individuals based on the different connectivity degree in the followup research, where \(k_{\max }\) is the maximum number of connections to each person. Thus let \(I_{k}(t)\), \(E_{k}(t)\), \(S_{1k}(t)\), \(S_{2k}(t)\), \(R_{1k}(t)\), and \(R_{2k}(t)\) be the densities of ignoramuses, exposures, spreaders1, spreaders2, stiflers1, and stiflers2 with degree k at time t, respectively. Hence, at any time t, the density of the whole population with degree k satisfies
and
As shown in Fig. 1, the rules of the IE2S2R rumorspreading model and their expressions can be summarized as follows:
(1) Only when ignoramuses contact with spreaders1 or spreaders2 will they be converted to exposures with a certain probability.
(2) As time goes by, exposures may be converted to spreaders (spreaders1 or spreaders2) with a certain probability since they believe and spread rumors, or they could also be translated into stiflers (stiflers1 or stiflers2) with a specified probability because exposures are not interested in spreading rumors.
(3) Because the rumor exists or the truth continues to spread for a long time, spreaders1 (spreaders2) will forget the existing rumor or know the truth with a certain probability. Ultimately, they don’t transmit the rumor again and will convert to stiflers1 (stiflers2).
In view of the above mentioned rules, the rumorspreading model in a bilingual environment and heterogeneous networks can be described by
where \(b,\mu,h,\delta \geq 0\) and \(\alpha,\beta,\gamma \in (0,1)\); \(\Theta _{1}(t)\) and \(\Theta _{2}(t)\) are described as
Here, \(\varphi (i)\) represents the infectivity of spreaders1 or spreaders2 with degree i, \(\lambda _{i}\) denotes the acceptability of i degree individuals, \(\frac{\lambda _{i}\varphi (i)}{i}\) denotes the probability of converting to exposures when ignoramuses contact with spreaders1 or spreaders2 in unit time, \(P(ik)\) is the probability that individuals with degree i connect with degree k. In this paper, we focus on degreeuncorrelated networks. Then, substituting \(P(ik)=\frac{iP(i)}{\langle k\rangle }\) into \(\Theta _{1}(t)\) and \(\Theta _{2}(t)\), we can obtain
Moreover, the meaning of the parameters in model (1) is presented in Table 1.
Remark 1
Note that the process of rumor spreading in this paper is different from the previous papers [22, 23] in that the hesitation mechanism is considered and the exposures may be translated into spreaders or stiflers with a certain rate. In addition, both crosspropagation and contact transfer are considered in the rumorspreading model (1). Obviously, the model proposed in this paper is more general and practical.
In view of the biological background of system (1), in this paper, we only consider the solutions of system (1) starting at \(t=0\) with initial values:
3 Main results
For the nonnegativeness of the solution and the feasible region for IE2S2R model (1), the following conclusion can be derived.
Theorem 1
Let \((I_{k}(t),E_{k}(t),S_{1k}(t),S_{2k}(t),R_{1k}(t),R_{2k}(t))\) be the solution of model (1) with initial conditions (2), then we have

(i)
\((I_{k}(t),E_{k}(t),S_{1k}(t),S_{2k}(t),R_{1k}(t),R_{2k}(t))\) is also positive for all \(t>0\).

(ii)
The feasible region Ω is a positively invariant set of system (1), which is defined as
$$\begin{aligned} \Omega ={}& \biggl\{ \bigl(I_{k}(t),E_{k}(t), S_{1k}(t),S_{2k}(t), R_{1k}(t),R_{2k}(t) \bigr)^{T} \in \mathbb{R}_{+}^{6}I_{k}(t)+E_{k}(t)+S_{1k}(t) \\ & {} +S_{2k}(t)+R_{1k}(t)+R_{2k}(t)\leq \frac{b}{\mu }, k=1,2,\dots,k_{\max }, t>0 \biggr\} . \end{aligned}$$(3)
Proof
(i) Suppose that \((I_{k}(t),E_{k}(t),S_{1k}(t),S_{2k}(t),R_{1k}(t),R_{2k}(t))\) is the solution of system (1) with (2) for all \(t\in [0, T)\), where \(T>0\). Let
Here, we will prove that the solution of system (1) is positive, which implies that we only need to prove \(F(t)>0\) for all \(t\in [0, T)\). Assume that there exists \(t^{*}\in (0,T)\) such that
According to the initial condition (2), we can further assume \(F(t)>0\) for all \(t\in (0,t^{*})\). Next, we discuss the above function \(F(t)>0\) in six cases.
If \(F(t^{*})=I_{k}(t^{*})\), then from the first equation of system (1) and \(S_{1k}(t),S_{2k}(t)\geq 0\), we can get
Integrating both sides of (4) from 0 to \(t^{*}\), one has
which leads to a contradiction. Further, the other five cases can be discussed in a similar way. This shows that \((I_{k}(t),E_{k}(t),S_{1k}(t),S_{2k}(t),R_{1k}(t),R_{2k}(t))\) is positive on the existence interval (i.e., for \(t\in (0,T)\)).
Then, we prove that the interval of existence of \((I_{k}(t),E_{k}(t),S_{1k}(t),S_{2k}(t),R_{1k}(t),R_{2k}(t))\) is \([0,\infty )\). In fact, if the interval of existence is a finite interval \(t\in (0,T)\), we know that \((I_{k}(t),E_{k}(t),S_{1k}(t),S_{2k}(t),R_{1k}(t),R_{2k}(t))\) is unbounded on \([0,T)\). From system (1) and \(N_{k}(t)=I_{k}(t)+E_{k}(t)+S_{1k}(t)+S_{2k}(t)+R_{1k}(t)+R_{2k}(t)\), one has
Integrating the above equation from 0 to t, we obtain
Hence, \(N_{k}(t)\) is bounded on \([0,T)\), which implies that \(I_{k}(t),E_{k}(t),S_{1k}(t),S_{2k}(t),R_{1k}(t)\), \(R_{2k}(t)\) are bounded on \([0,T)\). This leads to a contraction. Therefore, we finally have that \((I_{k}(t),E_{k}(t),S_{1k}(t),S_{2k}(t),R_{1k}(t),R_{2k}(t))\) is positive for all \(t\in (0,\infty )\).
(ii) According to the initial condition (2) and the result of (i), we have
which implies that the feasible region Ω is positively invariant with respect to system (1). The proof of Theorem 1 is completed. □
According to the methodology of infectious diseases, our aim is to explore the rumorfree equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}_{0}\) and the basic reproduction number \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\) of system (1). One can check that system (1) has the rumorfree equilibrium
When we choose
the following model can be obtained:
where
and
The Jacobian matrices of \(\mathcal{F}(\chi )\) and \(\mathcal{V}(\chi )\) at \(\widetilde{E}_{0}=(\frac{b}{\mu },0,0,0,0,0) \) are written as
where
and
It is clearly shown that V is a nonsingular matrix and F is a nonnegative matrix. Based on the concept of the next generation matrix and reproduction number given in [26, 27], the basic reproduction number is defined by
Moreover, the following result can be derived by combining the above analysis with references [26, 27].
Theorem 2
When \(\mathcal{R}_{0}<1\), the rumorfree equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}_{0}\) of system (1) is locally asymptotically stable, and when \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\), it is unstable.
Proof
Since the local stability of \(\widetilde{E}_{0}\) is related to the eigenvalues of the corresponding Jacobian matrix \(J(\widetilde{E}_{0})\), we firstly derive the Jacobian matrix \(J(\widetilde{E}_{0})\) of system (1) as follows:
where
and for \(i\neq j\),
By a simple calculation, the characteristic equation of \(J(\widetilde{E}_{0})\) is written as
A simple calculation shows that the stability of \(\widetilde{E}_{0}\) is only dependent of the solution of the following equation:
Let
then
Obviously, \(\frac{d G(\lambda )}{d\lambda }>0\) when \(\lambda >0\). That is, \(G(\lambda )\) is a monotonically increasing function when \(\lambda >0\). And if \(\mathcal{R}_{0}<1\),
which shows that the solutions of \(G(\lambda )=0\) are negative when \(\mathcal{R}_{0}<1\) and at least one solution for \(G(\lambda )=0\) is positive when \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\). Hence, from Routh–Hurwitz criterion [28], the rumorfree equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}_{0}\) of system (1) is locally asymptotically stable for \(\mathcal{R}_{0}<1\), and it is unstable when \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\). The proof of Theorem 2 is completed. □
Theorem 3
When \(\mathcal{R}_{0}<1\), the rumorfree equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}_{0}\) of system (1) is globally asymptotically stable.
Proof
Consider the following Lyapunov function:
Calculating the derivative of \(V(t)\) along the solution of (1), we can obtain
When \(\mathcal{R}_{0}<1\), we can easily find that \(\frac{dV(t)}{dt}\leq 0\). Also \(\frac{dV(t)}{dt}=0\) if and only if \(\Theta _{1}(t)+\Theta _{2}(t)=0\), i.e., \(S_{1k}(t)=S_{2k}(t)=0\). Thus, by LaSalle’s invariance principle [29], the rumorfree equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}_{0}\) of system (1) is globally asymptotically stable. The proof of Theorem 3 is completed. □
Remark 2
When \(R_{1k}(t)+ R_{2k}(t)=R_{k}(t)\), the fifth and sixth equations in model (1) can be rewritten as
Based on this, the propagation of rumor in model (1) is similar to that of [23] and the following corollaries are obtained.
Corollary 1
When \(\mathcal{R}_{0}<1\), the rumorfree equilibrium \(\widehat{E}_{0}=(\frac{b}{\mu },0,0,0,0)\) of system (1) is locally asymptotically stable, and when \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\), it is unstable.
Corollary 2
When \(\mathcal{R}_{0}<1\), the rumorfree equilibrium \(\widehat{E}_{0}\) of system (1) is globally asymptotically stable.
Proof
The proofs of Corollaries 1–2 are similar to those of Theorems 2–3, which are omitted here. □
Next, we will prove the uniqueness of the rumorprevailing equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}^{*}\).
Theorem 4
When \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\), system (1) has a unique rumorprevailing equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}^{*}=(I_{k}^{*},E_{k}^{*},S_{1k}^{*},S^{*}_{2k},R^{*}_{1k},R^{*}_{2k})\).
Proof
Assuming that \(\widetilde{E}^{*}=(I_{k}^{*},E_{k}^{*},S_{1k}^{*},S^{*}_{2k},R^{*}_{1k},R^{*}_{2k})\) is an equilibrium of system (1), we can obtain
where \(\Theta _{1}^{*}=\frac{1}{\langle k\rangle }\sum_{i=1}^{k_{\max }} \lambda _{i}\varphi (i)P(i)S_{1i}^{*}\) and \(\Theta _{2}^{*}=\frac{1}{\langle k\rangle }\sum_{i=1}^{k_{\max }} \lambda _{i}\varphi (i)P(i)S_{2i}^{*}\). By (5), one has
From (6), we can get the selfconsistency equation as follows:
Obviously, \(\Theta =0\) is a solution of (7). Then, \(I^{*}_{k}=\frac{b}{\mu }\) and \(E^{*}_{k}=S^{*}_{1k}=S^{*}_{2k}=R^{*}_{1k}=R^{*}_{2k}=0\), which is the rumorfree equilibrium of system (1). Notice that
which shows that \(f(\Theta )\) is a monotonously increasing function and
If \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\), then
and
Thus, system (1) has a unique positive solution if and only if \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\). That is, system (1) has a unique \(\widetilde{E}^{*}=(I_{k}^{*},E_{k}^{*},S_{1k}^{*},S^{*}_{2k},R^{*}_{1k},R^{*}_{2k})\) for \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\). The proof of Theorem 4 is completed. □
Theorem 5
The unique rumorprevailing equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}^{*}\) is globally asymptotically stable, when \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\).
Proof
Because the first four equations of system (1) do not depend on \(R_{1k}(t)\) and \(R_{2k}(t)\), we need only to consider a Lyapunov function in the following form:
where
Put
First, system (1) and the equations in (5) yield that
From (8)–(12), the derivative of \(W(t)\) is
Therefore,
From the third and forth equations of (5), we can obtain
Then, from the second equation of (5), one has
which implies that \(\frac{d W(t)}{dt}\leq 0\) and \(\frac{d W(t)}{dt}= 0\) if and only if
Therefore, \(\widetilde{E}^{*}\) of system (1) is globally asymptotically stable for \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\). The proof of Theorem 5 is completed. □
Remark 3
At present, the Lyapunov direct method is still one of the most effective methods to investigate the stability of some complex systems including nonlinear systems and rumorspreading model in networks. By employing such theory and referring to the method of constructing Lyapunov function in [30], two appropriate Lyapunov functions are proposed to explore the stability of equilibrium points for model (1) in Theorems 3 and 5. Subsequently, the main results related to the global asymptotic stability have been established with a combination of LaSalle’s invariance principle in [27].
Corollary 3
The unique rumorprevailing equilibrium \(\widehat{E}^{*}\) is globally asymptotically stable, when \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\) and \(R_{1k}(t)+R_{2k}(t)=R_{k}(t)\).
Proof
From Remark 2 and Theorem 4, the unique rumorprevailing equilibrium \(\widehat{E}^{*}=(I_{k}^{*},E_{k}^{*},S_{1k}^{*},S_{2k}^{*}, \widehat{R}_{k}^{*})\) is obtained, where
The following proof is similar to that of Theorem 5, which is omitted here. □
Remark 4
In [18, 19], different SEIR rumorspreading models were presented and of the rumorprevailing equilibrium was explored by utilizing a monotone iterative technique. It is worth noting that the global stability of rumor equilibrium for an SEIR model on heterogeneous network has not been discussed, as far as we know. Different from those, a more general SEIR model (4) is proposed based on a bilingual environment and heterogeneous complex network and the global stability of the equilibrium points of model (1) is investigated by mainly employing the Lyapunov stability theory and LaSalle’s invariance principle.
4 Sensitivity analysis
In this section, we will discuss the effect of parameters in model (1) on the basic reproduction number by means of sensitivity analysis. First, we introduce the definition of sensitivity analysis as follows:
Definition 1
The normalized forward sensitivity index of the variable \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\), which depends on a differentiable parameter q, is defined as
By a simple calculation, the sensitivity index of \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\) for parameters in model (1) is presented in Table 2, where some parameters are fixed as follows: \(\alpha =0.3\), \(\beta =0.5\), \(\gamma =0.4\), \(h=0.8\), \(\delta =0.2\), and \(\mu =0.2\).
Next, the influence extent of parameters related to \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\) on IE2S2R rumorspreading model (1) can be evaluated quantitatively by sensitivity analysis in Table 2. The relative variation of parameters related to \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\) are shown in Table 2 if we alter the parameters by 1%. Whereupon, a reduction of 1% in forgetting or educational mechanism δ may lead to an increase of \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\) by 0.5%; a reduction of 1% in leaving rate μ may lead to an increase of \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\) by 1%; a reduction of 1% in the average degree \(\langle k\rangle \) may lead to an increase of \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\) by 1%. Otherwise, a reduction of 1% in \(\sum i\lambda _{i}\varphi (i)P(i)\) or b results in a decrease of \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\) by 1%; a reduction of 1% in the probability of exposures with language1 based α results in a decrease of \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\) by 0.03%; a reduction of 1% in the transmission rate \(\beta (\gamma )\) decreases \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\) by 0.3488%(0.6512%); a reduction of 1% in h decreases \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\) by 0.2%.
These results clearly show that the most effective tactics in providing \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\) reduction would be to increase the leaving rate μ or strengthening education so as to increase the value of δ (through the government punishment mechanism, releasing official information timely, and developing ideology education activity). Obviously, the transmission rates β,γ can also be reduced due to the strengthening of education. Hence, educational mechanisms play a major role in controlling the spread of rumors.
5 Numerical simulations
In this section, some numerical simulations are presented to demonstrate the validity of our proposed theoretical results with different parameters.
A new study in this paper is based on a heterogenous network with a power law degree distribution:
where m is the minimum degree of model (1). In this paper, we choose \(\varphi (k)=k^{1.5}\), \(\lambda _{i}=0.02\), \(m=1\), and \(k_{\max }=100\). From a simple calculation, the average degree \(\langle k \rangle =3.27\) and \(\sum^{100}_{1=1} i\lambda _{i}\varphi (i)P(i)=0.7436\).
Example 1
At first, we verify the stability of rumorfree equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}_{0}\) in Theorems 2 and 3. Choose \(\alpha =0.3\), \(\beta =0.5\), \(\gamma =0.4\), \(h=0.8\), \(\delta =0.2\), \(b=0.05\), and \(\mu =0.05\). By a simple computation, it is derived that the basic reproduction number \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\approx 0.3681 <1\) for rumor spreading model (1). From Theorem 2, IE2S2R rumorspreading model (1) has a unique locally asymptotically stable rumorfree equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}_{0}\), which is verified in Figs. 2(a)–(b) with \(k=30\) and Figs. 3(a)–(b) with \(k=80\). According to Theorem 3, the rumorfree equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}_{0}\) is globally asymptotically stable, which is verified in Figs. 2(c)–(d) with \(k=30\) and Figs. 3(c)–(d) with \(k=80\).
Example 2
The globally asymptotical stability of rumorprevailing equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}^{*}\) in Theorem 5 needs to be verified. Select \(\alpha =0.7\), \(\beta =\gamma =0.9\), \(h=0.8\), \(\delta =0.01\), \(b=0.05\), and \(\mu =0.05\). By a simple computation, it is derived that the basic reproduction number \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\approx 3.2104>1\) for the above chosen parameters for model (1). Hence, \(\widetilde{E}^{*}\) is globally asymptotically stable, which is verified in Fig. 4 with \(k=40\) and Fig. 5 with \(k=70\).
Remark 5
From Figs. 2–5, it is easy to check how different connection degree affects the densities of ignoramuses, exposures, spreaders, and stiflers. When \(\mathcal{R}_{0}<1\), the peak of \(S_{ik}(t)\) (\(i=1,2\)) is increased and the convergence speed of rumorfree equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}_{0}\) is accelerated with increasing k. When \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\), the value of \(S_{ik}(t)\) (\(I_{k}(t)\)) is increased (decreased) by increasing the connection degree k.
From sensitivity analysis in Sect. 4, it is shown that \(\beta,\gamma,h,\delta \) have an important influence on rumor spreading in model (1). In order to more clearly understand the impact of these parameters for \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\), an example with some different situations is given.
Example 3
Choose \(\alpha =0.5\), \(\gamma =0.9\), \(h=0.8\), \(\delta =0.05\), \(b=0.04\), and \(\mu =0.05\). By a simple computation, it is derived that \(0.253\leq \beta \leq 1\) when \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\). Hence, we can select \(\beta =0.3\), \(\beta =0.5\), \(\beta =0.7\), and \(\beta =0.9\) to describe the influence of β in rumor spreading. The influence extent of β on \(S_{1,90}(t)\) and \(S_{2,90}(t)\) is shown in Fig. 6, which implies that the value of \(S_{1,90}(t)\) is increased with the increase of β, and β has a little effect on \(S_{2,90}(t)\).
Fix \(\alpha =0.2\), \(\beta =0.8\), \(h=0.6\), \(\delta =0.02\), \(b=0.08\), and \(\mu =0.1\). By a simple computation, it is derived that \(0.762\leq \gamma \leq 1\) when \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\). Hence, we can choose \(\gamma =0.8\), \(\gamma =0.85\), \(\gamma =0.9\), and \(\gamma =0.95\). The impact extent of γ on \(S_{1,90}(t)\) and \(S_{2,90}(t)\) is shown in Fig. 7, which implies that γ has a little effect on \(S_{1,90}(t)\), and the value of \(S_{2,90}(t)\) is increased with the increase of γ.
Choose \(\alpha =0.5\), \(\beta =\gamma =0.8\), \(h=0.9\), \(b=0.05\), and \(\mu =0.05\). By a simple computation, it is derived that \(0\leq \delta \leq 0.173\) when \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\). Hence, we can select \(\delta =0.05\), \(\delta =0.1\), \(\delta =0.15\), and \(\delta =0.17\) to describe the influence of δ in model (1). The impact extent of δ on \(S_{1,90}(t)\) and \(S_{2,90}(t)\) is shown in Fig. 8, which just indicates that the value of \(S_{1,90}(t)\) and \(S_{2,90}(t)\) is decreased with the increase of δ.
Choose \(\alpha =0.2\), \(\beta =0.6\), \(\gamma =0.8\), \(\delta =0.05\), \(b=0.1\), and \(\mu =0.1\). By a simple computation, it is derived that \(0.028\leq h \leq 1\) when \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\). Hence, we can select \(h=0.05\), \(h=0.35\), \(h=0.65\), and \(h=0.95\) to describe the influence of h in rumor spreading. Figure 9 shows that the value of \(S_{1,90}(t)\) and \(S_{2,90}(t)\) will increase if h increases.
Remark 6
This paper studies the dynamics of IE2S2R model under heterogeneous networks, in which time delays are not considered. It is generally appreciated that time delays are unavoidable in real life, especially with regard to the process of rumor spreading. Until now, there are few articles on the subject of rumor spreading in which time delays were taken into account [32–34]. These results, however, were only established in homogeneous networks and a singlelanguage environment. Therefore, it is necessary to take time delays into model (1) of this paper in the future work.
6 Conclusion
By adding the hesitation mechanism, the dynamics of a new IE2S2R rumorspreading model in a bilingual environment and heterogeneous networks is studied in this paper. Firstly, the threshold condition of \(\mathcal{R}_{0}\) is given to determine whether the rumor lives or dies. Next, theoretical results obtained in this paper indicate that the rumorfree equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}_{0}\) is globally asymptotically stable if \(\mathcal{R}_{0}<1\) and the rumorprevailing equilibrium \(\widetilde{E}^{*}\) is globally asymptotically stable if \(\mathcal{R}_{0}>1\). In addition, sensitivity analysis is given to clarify the influence extent for rumor spreading of different parameters in (1). Finally, the effectiveness of theoretical results has been shown through some numerical examples. Further work will be to study the dynamics of IE2S2R rumorspreading model with time delays, which is more complicated.
Availability of data and materials
Data sharing not applicable to this paper as no datasets were generated or analyzed during the current study.
References
Gordon, W., Leo, P.: An analysis of rumor. Public Opin. Q. 10, 501–517 (1946)
Huo, L., Li, X.: An interplay model for official information and rumor spreading with impulsive effects. Adv. Differ. Equ. 2019, 164 (2019)
Galam, S.: Modelling rumors: the no plane pentagon French hoax case. Physica A 320, 571–580 (2003)
Zanette, D.: Critical behavior of propagation on smallworld networks. Phys. Rev. E 64, 050901 (2001)
Zanette, D.: Dynamics of rumor propagation on smallworld networks. Phys. Rev. E 64, 041908 (2002)
Nekovee, M., Moreno, Y., Bianconi, G., Marsili, M.: Theory of rumor spreading in complex social networks. Physica A 374, 457–470 (2007)
Chen, G.: ILSCR rumor spreading model to discuss the control of rumor spreading in emergency. Physica A 522, 88–97 (2019)
Yang, A., Huang, X., Cai, X., Zhu, X., Lu, L.: ILSR rumor spreading model with degree in complex network. Physica A 531, 121807 (2019)
Tian, Y., Ding, X.: Rumor spreading model with considering debunking behavior in emergencies. Appl. Math. Comput. 363, 124599 (2019)
He, Z., Cai, Z., Yu, J., Wang, X., Sun, Y., Li, Y.: Costefficient strategies for restraining rumor spreading in mobile social networks. IEEE Trans. Veh. Technol. 66, 2789–2800 (2017)
Lu, P.: Heterogeneity, judgment and social trust of agents in rumor spreading. Appl. Math. Comput. 350, 447–461 (2019)
Liu, W., Wu, X., Yang, W., Zhu, X., Zhong, S.: Modeling cyber rumor spreading over mobile social networks: a compartment approach. Appl. Math. Comput. 359, 374–385 (2019)
Wang, Z., Liang, J., Nie, H., Zhao, H.: A 3SI3R model for the propagation of two rumors with mutual promotion. Adv. Differ. Equ. 2020, 109 (2020)
Jain, A., Dhar, J., Gupta, V.: Rumor model on homogeneous social network incorporating delay in expert intervention and government action. Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simul. 84, 105189 (2020)
Liu, Y., Xu, S., Tourassi, G.: Detecting rumors through modeling information propagation networks in a social media environment. IEEE Trans. Comput. Soc. Syst. 3, 46–62 (2017)
Zhou, J., Liu, Z., Li, B.: Influence of network structure on rumor propagation. Phys. Lett. A 368, 458–463 (2007)
Moreno, Y., Nekovee, M., Pacheco, A.: Dynamics of rumor spreading in complex networks. Phys. Rev. E 69, 066130 (2004)
Wan, C., Li, T., Sun, Z.: Global stability of a SEIR rumor spreading model with demographics on scalefree networks. Adv. Differ. Equ. 2017, 253 (2017)
Liu, X., Li, T., Tian, M.: Rumor spreading of a SEIR model in complex social networks with hesitating mechanism. Adv. Differ. Equ. 2018, 391 (2018)
Liu, Q., Li, T., Sun, M.: The analysis of an SEIR rumor propagation model on heterogeneous network. Physica A 469, 372–380 (2017)
Hosseini, S., Azgomi, M.: The dynamics of an SEIRSQV malware propagation model in heterogeneous networks. Physica A 512, 803–817 (2018)
Wang, J., Jiang, H., Ma, T., Hu, C.: Global dynamics of the multilingual SIR rumor spreading model with crosstransmitted mechanism. Chaos Solitons Fractals 126, 148–157 (2019)
Li, J., Jiang, H., Yu, Z., Hu, C.: Dynamical analysis of rumor spreading model in homogeneous complex networks. Appl. Math. Comput. 359, 374–385 (2019)
Zhang, Y., Zhu, J.: Dynamic behaviour of an I2S2R rumor propagation model on weighted contract networks. Physica A 536, 120981 (2019)
Yu, S., Yu, Z., Jiang, H., Mei, X., Li, J.: The spread and control of rumors in a multilingual environment. Nonlinear Dyn. 100, 2933–2951 (2020)
Dreessche, P., Watmough, J.: Reproduction numbers and subthreshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission. Math. Biosci. 180, 29–48 (2002)
Roberts, M., Heesterbeek, J.: Characterizing the nextgeneration matrix and basic reproduction number in ecological epidemiology. J. Math. Biol. 66, 1045–1064 (2013)
Zheng, T., Nie, L.: Modelling the transmission dynamics of twostrain Dengue in the presence awareness and vector control. J. Theor. Biol. 443, 82–91 (2018)
LaSalle, J.: The Stability of Dynamical Systems. CBMSNSF Regional Conference Series in Applied Mathematics (1976)
Enatsu, Y., Nakata, Y., Muroya, Y.: Lyapunov functional techniques for the global stability analysis of a delayed SIRS epidemic model. Nonlinear Anal., Real World Appl. 13, 2120–2133 (2012)
Chitnis, N., Hyman, J., Cushing, J.: Determining important parameters in the spread of malaria through the sensitivity analysis of a mathematical model. Bull. Math. Biol. 70, 1272–1296 (2008)
Huo, L., Ma, C.: Dynamical analysis of rumor spreading model with impulse vaccination and time delay. Physica A 471, 653–665 (2017)
Li, C., Ma, Z.: Dynamics analysis of a delayed rumor propagation model in an emergencyaffected environment. Discrete Dyn. Nat. Soc. 501, 269561 (2015)
Laarabi, H., Abta, A., Rachik, M., Bouyaghroumni, J.: Stability analysis of a delayed rumor propagation model. Differ. Equ. Dyn. Syst. 24, 407–415 (2016)
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank the referees and the editor for helpful suggestions incorporated into this paper.
Funding
This work was supported in part by National Natural Science Foundation of People’s Republic of China (Grants No. U1703262, No. 61866036, No. 61963033), in part by the Innovation Team Program of Universities in Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (Grant XJEDU2017T001), in part by the Tianshan Youth Program (Grant 2018Q001), in part by the Excellent Doctor Innovation Program of Xinjiang University (XJUBSCX201927) in part by the Tianshan Xuesong Program (Grant 2018XS02), in part by Tianshan Innovation Team Program (Grant 2020D14017).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
SY established the mathematical model, theoretical analysis, and wrote the original draft; HJJ provided modeling ideas and analysis methods; CH checked the correctness of theoretical results, JY collected relevant literature and modified manuscript; JRL performed the simulation experiments. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
Rights and permissions
Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
About this article
Cite this article
Yang, S., Jiang, H., Hu, C. et al. Dynamics of the rumorspreading model with hesitation mechanism in heterogenous networks and bilingual environment. Adv Differ Equ 2020, 628 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662020030812
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662020030812
Keywords
 Rumor spreading
 Hesitation mechanism
 Heterogenous networks
 Bilingual environment
 Sensitivity analysis