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Actuarial approach in a mixed fractional Brownian motion with jumps environment for pricing currency option
Advances in Difference Equations volume 2015, Article number: 257 (2015)
Abstract
This research aims to investigate the strategy of fair insurance premium actuarial approach for pricing currency option, when the value of foreign currency option follows the mixed fractional Brownian motion with jumps and the European call and put currency option are presented. It has certain reference significance to avoiding foreign exchange risk.
1 Introduction
A currency option is a contract that gives the holder the right to buy or sell a certain amount of foreign currency at a fixed exchange rate (exercise price) upon exercise of the option. American options are options that can be exercised at any time before they expire. European options can be exercised only during a specified period immediately before expiration.
Option pricing was introduced by Black-Scholes in 1973 [1]. In a work by Garman and Kohlhagen \((GK)\) [2], the Black-Scholes model was developed in order to evaluate European currency option. However, some researchers (see [3]) pointed to the evidences, which reflect the mispriced currency options by the GK model. The significant causes of why this model is not suitable for stock markets are due to the fact that the currencies are different from the stocks in main respects, and geometric Brownian motion is unable to resolve the conduct of the currency return [4, 5]. Since then, in order to tackle these problems, many systems for pricing currency options have been proposed using the extensions of the GK model [6–9]. Since fractional Brownian motion \((FBM)\) includes two prominent properties: long-range correlation and self-similarity, it can get the typical tail behavior from stock markets.
Unfortunately, owing to the fact that \(FBM\) is neither a Markov process nor a semi-martingale, we are unable to employ the prevalent stochastic calculus to analyze it [10]. To resolve these problems, with respect to the long memory feature and to capture the fluctuations from stock markets, the mixed fractional Brownian motion \((MFBM)\) has been introduced [11, 12]. Cheridito [11] had proved that, for \(H\in(\frac{3}{4},1)\), the mixed model with dependent Brownian motion \((BM)\) and \(FBM\) was equivalent to one with BM. Therefore, we assume that \(H\in(\frac{3}{4},1)\). Moreover, the empirical studies demonstrate that discontinuous or jumps are vital components for analyzing financial data (see [13–19]). Then, we present the combination of Poisson jump process and \(MFBM\) in order to highlight all these properties. Actuarial approach to option pricing was put forward in 1998 by Bladt and Rydberg [20]. In this study, we assess the actuarial approach for pricing currency options, whose price is governed by jump process and \(MFBM\). In this model, we propose the actuarial approach to pricing currency options into a problem of equivalent of fair insurance premium. No economic assumptions are considered in the actuarial approach, and it is not only valid in complete, arbitrage-free and equilibrium markets but also reliable in incomplete, arbitrage and non-equilibrium markets.
Definition 1.1
A \(MFBM\) of parameters ϵ, α and H is a linear compound of different \(FBM\)s under probability space \((\Omega,F,P)\) for any \(t\in R_{+}\) by
where \(B(t)\) is a BM, \(B_{H}(t)\) is an independent \(FBM\) with Hurst parameter \(H\in(0,1)\), ϵ and α are two real constants such that \((\epsilon,\alpha)\neq(0,0)\); to get more information about \(MFBM\) you can see [21, 22].
The \(MFBM\) has the following properties:
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1.
\(M_{t}^{H}\) is a centered Gaussian process and not a Markovian one for \(H\in(0,1)\setminus\frac{1}{2}\);
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2.
\(M_{0}^{H}=0\) P-almost surely;
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3.
The covariation function of \(M_{t}^{H}(\alpha,\beta)\) and \(M_{t}^{H}(a,b)\) for any \(t, s \in R_{+}\) is given by
$$\begin{aligned} \operatorname {Cov}\bigl(M_{t}^{H},M_{s}^{H}\bigr)= \alpha^{2}(t\wedge s)+\frac{\beta}{2}\bigl(t^{2H}+s^{2H}- \vert t-s\vert ^{2H}\bigr), \end{aligned}$$(2)where ∧ denotes the minimum of two numbers;
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4.
The increments of \(M_{t}^{H}(\alpha,\beta)\) are stationary and mixed-self similar for any \(h>0\)
$$\begin{aligned} M_{ht}^{H}(\alpha,\beta)\triangleq M_{t}^{H} \bigl(\alpha h^{\frac{1}{2}},\beta h^{H}\bigr), \end{aligned}$$(3)where ≜ means ‘to same law’;
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5.
The increments of \(M_{t}^{H}\) are positively correlated if \(\frac{1}{2}< H<1\), uncorrelated if \(H=\frac{1}{2}\) and are negatively correlated if \(0< H<\frac{1}{2}\);
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6.
The increments of \(M_{t}^{H}\) are long range dependent if and only if \(H>\frac{1}{2}\);
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7.
For all \(t\in R _{+}\), we have
$$\begin{aligned} E\bigl[\bigl(M_{t}^{H}(\alpha,\beta)\bigr)^{n} \bigr]= \textstyle\begin{cases} 0, & \text{$n=2l+1$},\\ \frac{(2l)!}{2^{l}l!}(\alpha^{2}t+\beta^{2}t^{2H})^{l}, & \text{$n=2l$}. \end{cases}\displaystyle \end{aligned}$$(4)
To derive a \(MFBM\) with jumps model for pricing currency options, the greater attention should be paid to the following conditions:
-
(i)
No transaction expenses or taxes should be determined and all securities are perfectly divisible;
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(ii)
Safety trading is continuous;
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(iii)
The domestics interest rate \(r_{d}\) and foreign interest rate \(r_{f}\) in the short-term are defined and stable over time;
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(iv)
There are no risk-free arbitrage opportunities.
The spot exchange rate in the \(MFBM\) with jumps model is given by
Suppose that \(B_{t}^{d}\) and \(B_{t}^{f}\) show the domestic and foreign price of risk-free bond, respectively. Thus, \(B_{t}^{d}\) and \(B_{t}^{f}\) satisfy in Equations (6) and (7):
where \(S(t)\) denotes the spot exchange rate at time t of one unit of the foreign currency measured in the domestic currency; the drift μ and volatility σ are supposed to be constants; \(\widehat{B}(t)\) and \(\widehat{B}_{H}(t)\) are a BM and a \(FBM\), respectively; \(N_{t}\) is a Poisson process with rate λ; \((e^{J(t)}-1)\) is jump size at t which is a sequence of independent identically distributed and \(J(t)\sim N(-\frac{\sigma _{J}^{2}}{2},\sigma_{J}^{2})\). Moreover, all three sources of randomness, the \(FBM\), \(\widehat{B}_{H}(t)\), the Poisson process \(N_{t}\) and the jump size \(e^{J(t)}-1\), are supposed to be independent.
By using the fractional Girsanov equation and the following variables change
Equation (5) is transformed to the following equation:
Lemma 1.2
By applying the Ito formula, the solution for the stochastic differential Equation (9) (see [23]) is given by
and the mean
2 Actuarial approach for pricing currency option
This section deals with the new pricing model for the currency options using the actuarial approach, when the spot exchange rate follows the \(MFBM\) with jumps process. This model can be applied to different financial markets, for example, in the arbitrage-free, equilibrium and complete markets and also in the arbitrage, non-equilibrium and incomplete markets.
Definition 2.1
([20])
The expectation return rate \(\theta(t)\) of \(S_{t}\) on \(t\in[0,T]\) is defined \(\int_{0}^{T}\theta(s)\,ds\) as follows:
Definition 2.2
Suppose that \(C(K,T)\) and \(P(K,T)\) show the European call and put currency options, respectively, whose spot exchange rate is \(S(t)\), the exercise price is K and the time maturity is T. Thus, the value of European option by actuarial approach can be written as follows:
The essential condition for performing the European call and put currency options on the expiry date are, respectively,
Theorem 2.3
Let the spot exchange rate \(S(t)\) satisfy Equation (5). Thus, the value of the European call and put currency option at time \(t=0 \) is as follows, respectively:
here
Proof
From Lemma 1.2 we have
The \(\exp (-\int_{0}^{T}\theta(t)\,dt )S(T)B_{0}^{f}>KB_{0}^{d}\) is equivalent to the following equation:
Then we have \(\sigma B(T)+\sigma B_{H}(T)+\sum_{i=1}^{N_{T}} J(t_{i})-\frac {N_{T}\sigma_{J}^{2}}{2}T>m\).
Moreover,
where
and \(\Phi(\cdot)\) is the cumulative normal distribution. From Equation (17) we can get
The proof of Equation (18) is the same way. □
3 Conclusion
In the actuarial approach, we do not need the economic knowledge of financial data in which the outcome is accurate in all kinds of markets. It is important to note that our model in this study is easy to use against the Black-Scholes model because there is no need to investigate an equivalent martingale measure. In addition, in this paper, we supposed that the spot price follows the \(MFBM\) with jumps is a clear reference, which is important to eschewing foreign exchange risk.
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Acknowledgements
The authors express their sincere thanks to the referees for the careful and noteworthy reading of the manuscript, and very helpful suggestions that improved the manuscript substantially. The authors also gratefully acknowledge that this research was partially supported by the University Putra Malaysia under the ERGS Grant Scheme having project number 5524674.
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Shokrollahi, F., Kılıçman, A. Actuarial approach in a mixed fractional Brownian motion with jumps environment for pricing currency option. Adv Differ Equ 2015, 257 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-015-0590-8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-015-0590-8